No clear favorite. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $6.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 20% | +413% | $6.5M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the Uni...
This prediction market tracks whether US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? will occur, with $6.5M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? leads at only 20% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $310K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? at 20% probability, with $6.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $6.5M, with $310K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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