No clear favorite. US x China tariff agreement by June 30? leads at just 9%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | 9% | +1070% | $59K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and Ju...
This prediction market tracks whether US x China tariff agreement by June 30? will occur, with $59K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — US x China tariff agreement by June 30? leads at only 9% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $27K traded in the last 24 hours alone (46% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 19, 2026 at 07:45 UTC, the leading outcome is US x China tariff agreement by June 30? at 9% probability, with $59K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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