The market strongly favors Nicolás Maduro at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $100.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolás Maduro | 93% | +8% | $4.1M |
| 2 | Delcy Rodríguez | 7% | +1329% | $2.6M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers...
This prediction market tracks whether Venezuela leader end of 2026? will occur, with $100.1M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Nicolás Maduro is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $44K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 14:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Nicolás Maduro at 93% probability, with $100.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $100.1M, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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