Nicolás Maduro leads at 63%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $87.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolás Maduro | 63% | +58% | $1.7M |
| 2 | Delcy Rodríguez | 22% | +344% | $1.6M |
| 3 | María Corina Machado BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $1.1M |
| 4 | Diosdado Cabello Rondón | 1% | +9424% | $1.7M |
| 5 | Jorge Rodríguez | 1% | +9424% | $1.0M |
| 6 | Edmundo González | 1% | +18082% | $799K |
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This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Nicolás Maduro at 63% probability, with $87.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $87.9M, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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