The market strongly favors Switzerland at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 100% | - | $54K |
| 2 | France | 100% | - | $47K |
| 3 | China | 100% | - | $122K |
| 4 | Turkey | 86% | +16% | $27K |
| 5 | United Kingdom | 58% | +71% | $7K |
| 6 | Germany | 50% | +98% | $13K |
| 7 | South Korea | 40% | +153% | $5K |
| 8 | Saudi Arabia | 38% | +167% | $306 |
| 9 | Canada | 36% | +174% | $4K |
| 10 | Ireland | 36% | +182% | $3K |
| 11 | Italy | 32% | +217% | $30K |
| 12 | Israel | 31% | +223% | $26K |
| 13 | India | 30% | +228% | $7K |
| 14 | Japan | 30% | +239% | $13K |
| 15 | Pakistan | 22% | +344% | $4K |
| 16 | Ukraine | 17% | +488% | $6K |
| 17 | Mexico | 16% | +545% | $5K |
| 18 | Russia | 16% | +545% | $7K |
| 19 | North Korea | 16% | +545% | $12K |
| 20 | Lebanon BEST VALUE | 15% | +569% | $24K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For...
This prediction market tracks whether Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? will occur, with $504K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Switzerland is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $26K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 15, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Switzerland at 100% probability, with $504K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $504K, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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