No clear favorite. No solution by Dec 31, 2027 leads at just 28%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 | 28% | +251% | $9K |
| 2 | Hodge Conjecture | 28% | +257% | $4K |
| 3 | Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer | 22% | +344% | $2K |
| 4 | Riemann Hypothesis BEST VALUE | 16% | +506% | $1K |
| 5 | P versus NP | 4% | +2281% | $589 |
| 6 | Yang-Mills | 2% | +5028% | $609 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If no eligible AI lab announce...
This prediction market tracks whether Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — No solution by Dec 31, 2027 leads at only 28% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is No solution by Dec 31, 2027 at 28% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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