No clear favorite. No solution by Dec 31, 2027 leads at just 34%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 | 34% | +190% | $90K |
| 2 | Yang-Mills | 22% | +344% | $32K |
| 3 | Hodge Conjecture | 18% | +471% | $88K |
| 4 | Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | $39K |
| 5 | Riemann Hypothesis | 2% | +5782% | $25K |
| 6 | P versus NP | 2% | +5961% | $16K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If no eligible AI lab announce...
This prediction market tracks whether Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? will occur, with $290K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — No solution by Dec 31, 2027 leads at only 34% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 27, 2026 at 07:45 UTC, the leading outcome is No solution by Dec 31, 2027 at 34% probability, with $290K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $290K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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