Market is split — Pete Hegseth at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pete Hegseth | 56% | +79% | $26K |
| 2 | Nobody | 28% | +251% | $23K |
| 3 | Donald Trump BEST VALUE | 16% | +545% | $9K |
| 4 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1% | +16567% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market crea...
This prediction market tracks whether Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? will occur, with $70K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Pete Hegseth leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (24% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Hegseth at 56% probability, with $70K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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