The market strongly favors Andy Beshear at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andy Beshear | 91% | +10% | $2K |
| 2 | J.B. Pritzker | 85% | +18% | $4K |
| 3 | Pete Buttigieg | 82% | +23% | $5K |
| 4 | Gavin Newsom | 77% | +30% | $8K |
| 5 | Ted Cruz | 76% | +32% | $8K |
| 6 | Ron DeSantis | 76% | +32% | $2K |
| 7 | Josh Shapiro | 74% | +34% | $2K |
| 8 | Rahm Emanuel | 74% | +36% | $2K |
| 9 | J.D. Vance | 72% | +39% | $8K |
| 10 | Raphael Warnock | 71% | +41% | $939 |
| 11 | Cory Booker | 64% | +55% | $3K |
| 12 | Rand Paul | 64% | +57% | $482 |
| 13 | Mark Kelly | 60% | +65% | $699 |
| 14 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 57% | +74% | $13K |
| 15 | Kamala Harris | 57% | +75% | $6K |
| 16 | Wes Moore | 55% | +82% | $4K |
| 17 | Jon Ossoff | 52% | +90% | $6K |
| 18 | Marco Rubio | 52% | +94% | $8K |
| 19 | Andrew Yang | 47% | +113% | $4K |
| 20 | Brian Kemp BEST VALUE | 46% | +120% | $517 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? will occur, with $168K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Andy Beshear is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $15K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 05, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Andy Beshear at 91% probability, with $168K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $168K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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