No clear favorite. Nick Stewart leads at just 18%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Stewart | 18% | +448% | $208 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31? will occur, with $166K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Nick Stewart leads at only 18% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $65K traded in the last 24 hours alone (39% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Nick Stewart at 18% probability, with $166K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $166K, with $65K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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