No clear favorite. John Brennan leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Brennan | 20% | +388% | $29K |
| 2 | Mahmoud Khalil | 16% | +525% | $2K |
| 3 | Susan Rice | 12% | +733% | $404 |
| 4 | James Clapper | 12% | +770% | $8K |
| 5 | Lee Jun-seok | 11% | +813% | $794 |
| 6 | Brandon Johnson | 10% | +953% | $3K |
| 7 | Anthony Fauci | 8% | +1166% | $177K |
| 8 | Benjamin Netanyahu | 8% | +1199% | $3K |
| 9 | Candace Owens | 7% | +1360% | $308 |
| 10 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | 6% | +1718% | $26K |
| 11 | Letitia James BEST VALUE | 5% | +1861% | $5K |
| 12 | James Comey | 5% | +2098% | $11K |
| 13 | Lisa Cook | 4% | +2497% | $4K |
| 14 | Adam Schiff | 3% | +3025% | $17K |
| 15 | Tom Homan | 3% | +3025% | $44K |
| 16 | Hillary Clinton | 3% | +3348% | $29K |
| 17 | Loretta Lynch | 3% | +3348% | $3K |
| 18 | Gavin Newsom | 2% | +3982% | $41K |
| 19 | Barack Obama | 2% | +5456% | $30K |
| 20 | Pam Bondi | 2% | +5614% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be arrested before 2027? will occur, with $449K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — John Brennan leads at only 20% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 23, 2026 at 06:25 UTC, the leading outcome is John Brennan at 20% probability, with $449K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $449K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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