No clear favorite. John Brennan leads at just 38%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Brennan | 38% | +160% | $10K |
| 2 | Mahmoud Khalil | 26% | +292% | $1K |
| 3 | James Clapper | 20% | +413% | $5K |
| 4 | Letitia James | 18% | +456% | $2K |
| 5 | Anthony Fauci | 16% | +519% | $43K |
| 6 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | 12% | +700% | $18K |
| 7 | Lee Jun-seok | 12% | +710% | $755 |
| 8 | Loretta Lynch | 12% | +733% | $2K |
| 9 | Brandon Johnson | 12% | +733% | $3K |
| 10 | Candace Owens | 11% | +773% | $257 |
| 11 | Susan Rice | 9% | +1011% | $302 |
| 12 | James Comey | 8% | +1120% | $10K |
| 13 | Benjamin Netanyahu | 8% | +1120% | $2K |
| 14 | Tom Homan | 7% | +1289% | $38K |
| 15 | Lisa Cook | 6% | +1438% | $715 |
| 16 | John Kerry BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $193 |
| 17 | Gavin Newsom | 4% | +2122% | $35K |
| 18 | Hillary Clinton | 4% | +2532% | $22K |
| 19 | Pam Bondi | 3% | +2799% | $2K |
| 20 | Adam Schiff | 3% | +2977% | $16K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be arrested before 2027? will occur, with $242K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — John Brennan leads at only 38% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $14K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
As of Jul 29, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is John Brennan at 38% probability, with $242K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $242K, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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