The market strongly favors Mykhailo Drapatyi at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mykhailo Drapatyi | 98% | +2% | $11K |
| 2 | Other BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Person R | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
On February 8, 2024, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy appointed Oleksandr Syrskyi as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by presidential decree. This market concerns the first successor app...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will be Ukraine's next Commander-in-Chief in 2026? will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
The market shows strong consensus: Mykhailo Drapatyi is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 20:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Mykhailo Drapatyi at 98% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms