The market strongly favors Scott Bessent at 97%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Bessent | 97% | +3% | $513 |
| 2 | Elon Musk | 94% | +6% | $2K |
| 3 | Marco Rubio | 87% | +15% | $661 |
| 4 | Jared Kushner | 51% | +96% | $17 |
| 5 | Tim Cook | 37% | +170% | $80 |
| 6 | Eric Trump | 24% | +317% | $128 |
| 7 | Steve Witkoff | 20% | +400% | $2K |
| 8 | Sam Altman | 19% | +426% | $380 |
| 9 | Mark Zuckerberg | 18% | +471% | $518 |
| 10 | Barron Trump BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $217 |
| 11 | Donald Trump Jr. | 5% | +1983% | $200 |
| 12 | Melania Trump | 3% | +2799% | $801 |
| 13 | Jensen Huang | 2% | +4778% | $1K |
| 14 | J.D. Vance | 1% | +8596% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any porti...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will join Trump at APEC in China? will occur, with $9K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Scott Bessent is priced at 97%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 12, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Scott Bessent at 97% probability, with $9K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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