No clear favorite. Stefan Brodie leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stefan Brodie | 20% | +400% | $3K |
| 2 | Ryan Salame | 14% | +590% | $31K |
| 3 | Keonne Rodriguez | 14% | +590% | $18K |
| 4 | Daniel Penny | 10% | +852% | $508 |
| 5 | Steve Bannon | 10% | +895% | $8K |
| 6 | Matt Gaetz | 10% | +953% | $5K |
| 7 | Donald Brodie | 9% | +1011% | $4K |
| 8 | Eric Adams | 8% | +1076% | $1K |
| 9 | Joe Exotic | 8% | +1076% | $5K |
| 10 | Roger Ver | 8% | +1150% | $2K |
| 11 | Young Thug | 8% | +1166% | $5K |
| 12 | Roger Stone | 8% | +1233% | $6K |
| 13 | Bob Menendez | 6% | +1639% | $295 |
| 14 | Martin Shkreli BEST VALUE | 5% | +1752% | $30K |
| 15 | Derek Chauvin | 5% | +1920% | $25K |
| 16 | Elizabeth Holmes | 5% | +2005% | $4K |
| 17 | Julian Assange | 5% | +2098% | $4K |
| 18 | Ghislaine Maxwell | 4% | +2199% | $23K |
| 19 | Diddy | 4% | +2253% | $30K |
| 20 | Andrew Tate | 4% | +2339% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump pardon before 2027? will occur, with $452K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Stefan Brodie leads at only 20% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $11K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 08, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Stefan Brodie at 20% probability, with $452K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $452K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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