The market strongly favors Tucker Carlson at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucker Carlson | 100% | - | $115K |
| 2 | Candace Owens | 100% | - | $125K |
| 3 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | 100% | - | $283K |
| 4 | Kaitlan Collins | 100% | - | $2K |
| 5 | Joe Biden | 100% | - | $2K |
| 6 | Barack Obama | 100% | - | $17K |
| 7 | Jerome Powell | 100% | - | $8K |
| 8 | Jimmy Kimmel | 54% | +85% | $40K |
| 9 | Megyn Kelly | 50% | +100% | $427 |
| 10 | Nicolás Maduro | 37% | +170% | $3K |
| 11 | Alex Jones | 30% | +239% | $298 |
| 12 | Norah O'Donnell | 26% | +277% | $604 |
| 13 | Keir Starmer | 26% | +292% | $1K |
| 14 | Zohran Mamdani | 20% | +413% | $1K |
| 15 | Benjamin Netanyahu | 16% | +545% | $68K |
| 16 | Emmanuel Macron | 14% | +590% | $4K |
| 17 | Freidrich Merz | 14% | +641% | $7K |
| 18 | Pope Leo XIV | 10% | +953% | $10K |
| 19 | Vladimir Putin | 8% | +1233% | $9K |
| 20 | Pam Bondi BEST VALUE | 7% | +1371% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner betw...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30? will occur, with $763K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Tucker Carlson is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $37K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Tucker Carlson at 100% probability, with $763K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $763K, with $37K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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