The market strongly favors Zohran Mamdani at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zohran Mamdani | 100% | - | $891 |
| 2 | Elon Musk | 100% | - | $327 |
| 3 | Vladimir Putin | 100% | - | $11K |
| 4 | Allah | 100% | +0% | $56K |
| 5 | Dana White | 89% | +12% | $994 |
| 6 | Gianni Infantino | 82% | +22% | $11K |
| 7 | Emmanuel Macron | 66% | +53% | $69 |
| 8 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 40% | +150% | $1 |
| 9 | Mark Rutte | 39% | +156% | $48 |
| 10 | Delcy Rodriguez | 38% | +163% | $13K |
| 11 | Brett Kavanaugh | 36% | +174% | $630 |
| 12 | Pelé | 36% | +182% | $50 |
| 13 | King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud | 34% | +199% | - |
| 14 | Sheikh Tamim al-Thani | 34% | +199% | - |
| 15 | Lionel Messi | 32% | +208% | $14K |
| 16 | Susan Dell | 30% | +228% | $5K |
| 17 | Ursula von der Leyen | 26% | +285% | $12 |
| 18 | Weijia Jiang BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $12K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30? will occur, with $123K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Zohran Mamdani is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $51K traded in the last 24 hours alone (41% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 100% probability, with $123K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $123K, with $51K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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