The market strongly favors Xi Jinping at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xi Jinping | 90% | +10% | $8K |
| 2 | Vladimir Putin | 82% | +23% | $768 |
| 3 | Mark Carney | 76% | +31% | $374 |
| 4 | Elon Musk | 73% | +37% | $560 |
| 5 | Mark Rutte | 69% | +45% | $20 |
| 6 | Ursula von der Leyen | 61% | +64% | $290 |
| 7 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 52% | +90% | $60 |
| 8 | Emmanuel Macron | 52% | +94% | $60 |
| 9 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 50% | +98% | $60 |
| 10 | Andy Burnham | 50% | +98% | $40 |
| 11 | Mohammed bin Salman | 49% | +104% | - |
| 12 | Lula da Silva | 47% | +113% | $200 |
| 13 | Friedrich Merz | 32% | +217% | $741 |
| 14 | Maria Corina Machado | 30% | +233% | $205 |
| 15 | Kim Jong Un | 20% | +388% | $900 |
| 16 | Pope Leo XIV BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $1K |
| 17 | Masoud Pezeshkian | 4% | +2173% | $966 |
| 18 | Reza Pahlavi | 4% | +2532% | $2K |
| 19 | Miguel Díaz-Canel | 3% | +3674% | $538 |
| 20 | Nicolás Maduro | 2% | +4248% | $151 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump speak to by November 30? will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Xi Jinping is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 31, 2026 at 06:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Xi Jinping at 90% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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