The market strongly favors Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +0% | $19K |
| 2 | Mark Rutte | 98% | +2% | $2K |
| 3 | Emmanuel Macron | 98% | +2% | $3K |
| 4 | Friedrich Merz | 96% | +4% | $704 |
| 5 | Mark Carney | 92% | +8% | $504 |
| 6 | Keir Starmer | 90% | +12% | $5K |
| 7 | Ursula von der Leyen | 85% | +18% | $3K |
| 8 | Vladimir Putin | 66% | +50% | $5K |
| 9 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 59% | +69% | $3K |
| 10 | Elon Musk | 30% | +239% | $368 |
| 11 | Miguel Díaz-Canel | 29% | +245% | $118 |
| 12 | Mohammed bin Salman | 27% | +270% | $1K |
| 13 | Lula da Silva | 22% | +355% | $3K |
| 14 | Xi Jinping | 21% | +376% | $2K |
| 15 | Maria Corina Machado BEST VALUE | 16% | +545% | $850 |
| 16 | Pope Leo XIV | 5% | +1983% | $679 |
| 17 | Masoud Pezeshkian | 4% | +2717% | $2K |
| 18 | Kim Jong Un | 3% | +3233% | $3K |
| 19 | Mojtaba Khamenei | 1% | +6797% | $1K |
| 20 | Reza Pahlavi | 1% | +7900% | $608 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verba...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump speak to in July? will occur, with $57K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Volodymyr Zelenskyy is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (38% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 04, 2026 at 20:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 100% probability, with $57K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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