Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Current Odds
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | 66% | $150K |
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FAQ
What are the current odds for Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027??
As of Mar 31, 2026 at 11:30 UTC, the leading outcome is Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? at 66% probability, with $150K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
How much money is bet on Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027??
The total trading volume for this market is $150K, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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