No clear favorite. Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? leads at just 4%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $39.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 4% | +2122% | $39.6M |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? at 4% probability, with $39.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $39.6M, with $116K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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