No clear favorite. Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? leads at just 1%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $19.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1% | +9424% | $19.7M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market w...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? at 1% probability, with $19.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $19.7M, with $411K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms