The market strongly favors 375M at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 375M | 100% | - | $29K |
| 2 | 400M | 100% | - | $3K |
| 3 | 350M | 100% | - | $56K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to t...
This prediction market tracks whether Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5? will occur, with $164K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: 375M is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $52K traded in the last 24 hours alone (32% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 375M at 100% probability, with $164K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $164K, with $52K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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