This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80-99 | 36% | $9K |
| 2 | 100-119 | 30% | $6K |
| 3 | 120-139 | 12% | $4K |
| 4 | 60-79 | 10% | $7K |
| 5 | 140-159 | 4% | $3K |
| 6 | 40-59 | 2% | $10K |
| 7 | 160-179 | 1% | $5K |
| 8 | 180-199 | 1% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 20:16 UTC, the leading outcome is 80-99 at 36% probability, with $154K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $154K, with $50K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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