The market strongly favors June 30 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $5.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 30 | 100% | +0% | $126K |
| 2 | May 31 | 100% | +0% | $98K |
| 3 | May 16 | 96% | +4% | $251K |
| 4 | May 15 BEST VALUE | 23% | +335% | $506K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise,...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30 at 100% probability, with $5.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.0M, with $232K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms