Market is split — December 31, 2026 at 45%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $1.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 45% | +122% | $639K |
| 2 | November 30, 2026 | 29% | +245% | $256K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
On September 22, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, with President Trump saying ano...
This prediction market tracks whether Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? will occur, with $1.5M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with December 31, 2026 leading at just 45%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
The market has seen $44K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 07, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 45% probability, with $1.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.5M, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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