No clear favorite. Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? leads at just 2%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | 2% | +4155% | $577K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly endorses China’s claim to Taiwan by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “China’s claim to Taiwan” refers...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? at 2% probability, with $577K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $577K, with $519K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms