Boeing Aircraft Purchase leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boeing Aircraft Purchase | 82% | +22% | $17K |
| 2 | U.S. Soybean Purchase | 48% | +111% | $8K |
| 3 | Rare Earth Export Relief | 31% | +223% | $7K |
| 4 | U.S. Oil Purchase | 16% | +525% | $12K |
| 5 | Participation in Iran Negotiations BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | $17K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariff...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Boeing Aircraft Purchase at 82% probability, with $61K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms