No clear favorite. Oil Sanction Relief leads at just 14%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oil Sanction Relief | 14% | +590% | $88K |
| 2 | Unfreeze Iranian Assets BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | $144K |
| 3 | Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz | 4% | +2497% | $175K |
| 4 | Enrichment of Uranium | 3% | +3290% | $792K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Continued enric...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Oil Sanction Relief at 14% probability, with $1.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.2M, with $236K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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