The market strongly favors May 15–22 at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 15–22 BEST VALUE | 99% | +1% | $32K |
| 2 | May 30–June 5 | 1% | +12400% | $6K |
| 3 | June 13–19 | 1% | +18082% | $7K |
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This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is May 15–22 at 99% probability, with $123K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $123K, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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