The market strongly favors May 15 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 15 | 100% | +0% | $68K |
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This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM Chin...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is May 15 at 100% probability, with $192K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $192K, with $119K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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