Market is split — Pakistan at 43%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $5.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakistan | 43% | +134% | $681K |
| 2 | No Meeting by June 30 BEST VALUE | 42% | +138% | $824K |
| 3 | Switzerland | 4% | +2567% | $317K |
| 4 | Other | 3% | +3604% | $265K |
| 5 | Qatar | 1% | +6797% | $279K |
| 6 | Oman | 1% | +8991% | $291K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A di...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Pakistan at 43% probability, with $5.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.6M, with $748K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms