No meeting by December 31 leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No meeting by December 31 | 70% | +43% | $34K |
| 2 | China | 14% | +641% | $19K |
| 3 | Russia BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $7K |
| 4 | United States | 4% | +2678% | $6K |
| 5 | Turkey | 2% | +4248% | $7K |
| 6 | Gulf country | 2% | +5305% | $5K |
| 7 | Other | 2% | +5614% | $7K |
| 8 | Belarus | 1% | +8991% | $5K |
| 9 | Other EU country | 1% | +11665% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? will occur, with $126K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward No meeting by December 31 at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $15K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 05, 2026 at 14:35 UTC, the leading outcome is No meeting by December 31 at 70% probability, with $126K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $126K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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