The market strongly favors Marco Rubio at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Rubio | 100% | - | $27K |
| 2 | Any of Trump’s sons | 100% | - | $24K |
| 3 | Scott Bessent | 100% | - | $8K |
| 4 | Elon Musk | 100% | - | $38K |
| 5 | Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company | 100% | - | $12K |
| 6 | Tim Cook | 100% | - | $29K |
| 7 | Steve Witkoff | 1% | +13233% | $24K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise,...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Marco Rubio at 100% probability, with $452K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $452K, with $208K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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