The market strongly favors Kevin Warsh at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $64.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Warsh | 100% | - | $14.4M |
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This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nomi...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Kevin Warsh at 100% probability, with $64.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $64.5M, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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