No clear favorite. Richard Grenell leads at just 2%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Grenell | 2% | +4778% | $9K |
| 2 | Derek Harvey | 1% | +7307% | $4K |
| 3 | Devin Nunes | 1% | +7592% | $13K |
| 4 | John Ratcliffe | 1% | +14186% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administ...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence? will occur, with $213K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Richard Grenell leads at only 2% across 4 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $129K traded in the last 24 hours alone (61% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Richard Grenell at 2% probability, with $213K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $213K, with $129K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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