No clear favorite. May 31 leads at just 39%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 31 | 39% | +156% | $97K |
| 2 | May 15 | 2% | +4778% | $49K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the Uni...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is May 31 at 39% probability, with $146K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $146K, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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