The market strongly favors Emmanuel Macron at 97%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmanuel Macron | 97% | +3% | $11K |
| 2 | Keir Starmer | 94% | +6% | $11K |
| 3 | Friedrich Merz | 94% | +6% | $7K |
| 4 | Mark Carney | 92% | +9% | $2K |
| 5 | Ursula von der Leyen | 88% | +14% | $12K |
| 6 | Lula da Silva | 76% | +31% | $10K |
| 7 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 76% | +31% | $17K |
| 8 | Mark Rutte | 72% | +38% | $6K |
| 9 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 62% | +63% | $36K |
| 10 | Mohammed bin Salman | 62% | +63% | $11K |
| 11 | Elon Musk | 42% | +138% | $9K |
| 12 | Vladimir Putin | 36% | +182% | $14K |
| 13 | Xi Jinping | 24% | +317% | $17K |
| 14 | Maria Corina Machado | 12% | +770% | $8K |
| 15 | Masoud Pezeshkian | 8% | +1233% | $10K |
| 16 | Pope Leo XIV | 6% | +1438% | $16K |
| 17 | Mojtaba Khamenei BEST VALUE | 6% | +1609% | $290 |
| 18 | Kim Jong Un | 4% | +2147% | $9K |
| 19 | Reza Pahlavi | 3% | +3179% | $10K |
| 20 | Yoon Suk Yeol | 1% | +11665% | $34K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verba...
This prediction market tracks whether Who will Trump speak to in June? will occur, with $254K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Emmanuel Macron is priced at 97%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $15K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Emmanuel Macron at 97% probability, with $254K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $254K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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