No clear favorite. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $20.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 10% | +953% | $20.9M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this mar...
This prediction market tracks whether Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? will occur, with $20.9M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? leads at only 10% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $20K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? at 10% probability, with $20.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $20.9M, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms